9.17.2007
Last Minute Champions League Picks
Who and Why?
Group A: Liverpool and Porto
- Liverpool and Porto's European experience and good form to start the season coupled with the lack thereof from Besiktas and Marseilles.
Group B: Chelsea and Valencia
- Chelsea's star power overpowers Schalke's lackluster form starting domestic play (1-0-4) to take second place after Valencia takes the group. All teams should be over the moon to have drawn Norwegian champs Rosenborg.
Group C: Real Madrid and Olympiacos
Real Madrid are off to a lfying start domestically. Frankly, I don't feel that great about Werder Bremen or Lazio, it's a pretty lackluster group even with los Meringues, so I'm gonna pick Olimpiacos as my upset special.
Group D: AC Milan and Shakhtar Donetsk
Celtic may sneak in, but the holders are too powerful, and the group is too weak. Benfica has had an average start to the season (2-0-2) and will probably not make the knockout stages. Tuesday's Celtic-Shakhtar game in the Ukraine looms huge and will set the pace for second place behind the Rossoneri. Come on the Celts!
Group E: FC Barcelona and Rangers FC
As much as it pains me, Rangers have been near perfect domestically, and Ibrox is a fortress. I can see them running the table at home, and maybe pipping a few points off Stuttgart and Lyon away. Damarcus Beasley's game is more suited for the European competition than the knockdown-dragout SPL and he should blossom.
Group F: Manchester United and AS Roma
United has the star power, and Roma looks to make a serious run at the Italian title this season. Sporting Lisbon and Dynamo Kiev have all the makings of also-rans.
Group G: Internazionale and Fenerbahce
I got a good feeling about the Turks and Inter is always Inter. Not too high on CSKA Moscow (or Russian teams in general) and PSV.
Group H: Sevilla and Arsenal
Slavia Prague and Steaua Bucharest round out the group against the English powerhouse and the near-Spanish-Treble-winners (UEFA Cup, Spanish Cup, 3rd in Spanish League) winners from last season. Need I say more?
8.30.2007
8.25.2007
AND DOWN THE STRETCH THEY COME!
This year's MLS season has been perhaps the league's most exciting to watch since the inaugural season of 1996. However, heading into the final third (or less) of the 30-game slate, about 6 teams look certain to make the playoffs, with another on the cusp. That's 7 of 8 playoff spots accounted for. In the East, there is a clearly defined strata, and right now, that strata is 30 points. New England (42 pts) DC United (39 pts), Red Bull New York (33 pts), and Kansas City Wizards (32 points)* are just about sure to be in the playoffs when they roll around in six weeks or so. *= The Wizards are my "iffy" team, but they are still 5 points clear of their nearest rival (Columbus). In the West, the dichotomy is even stronger. Houston Dynamo (38 pts), FC Dallas (36 pts) and Chivas USA (33 pts) are top of the conference. Colorado Rapids are the closest lookers at 24 points.
It will be a fierce battle for the 8th and final spot, and I see it coming down to three teams. Columbus Crew, Colorado Rapids, and Chicago Fire. Under MLS's new playoff format rules, the top two teams in each conference make the playoffs, followed by the next 6 teams pointwise regardless of conference. If the MLS Cup Playoffs started today, the pairings would be...
#1 New England vs. #8 (Columbus/Chicago/Colorado)
#2 Houston vs. #7 Kansas City
#3 DC United vs. #6 Red Bull New York
#4 FC Dallas vs. #5 Chivas USA
Chivas takes the 5 spot over RBNY because right now, they have matches in hand.
So how does the chase come down to the final three teams? What will determine how they will come out on top? Let's take a look.
Columbus Crew
(Through August 25, 6-7-9, 27 points, 4th place in the East)
Remaining Schedule
COLORADO, CHICAGO, @Kansas City, @Toronto, LOS ANGELES, FC DALLAS, @New England, @DC United.
Record vs. "The other two" Lost at Chicago 3-2 in June, Drew 0-0 at Chicago in August. Drew 0-0 at Colorado
Columbus is a young team that hasn't really been tested in playoff situations just yet. While their speed certainly makes them dangerous on the flanks, especially with the seemingly ageless Frankie Hejduk and bargain of the year Guillermo Barros Schelotto providing service, the Crew are not the patsy they have been the past few campaigns, but are not the league shakers they were in the early days of the league with Brian McBride and Brad Friedel. Columbus definitely controls their own destiny and at least 4 points against Fire and Colorado will go a long way to securing their postseason.
Chicago Fire
(7-9-5, 26 points, 5th place in the East)
Remaining Schedule: @New York, @ Columbus, NEW YORK, @FC Dallas, DC UNITED, @Chivas USA, NEW ENGLAND, @DC United, LOS ANGELES
Record vs. "The Other Two": Chicago drew at Colorado 1-1 in April, then 0-0 at Toyota Park in July. Fire beat Columbus 3-2 in June, and drew 0-0 in July, both matches at home.
Chicago technically doesn't control their destiny. They're behind on points, and it would really help should Columbus screw up down the stretch. However, the Fire have a match in hand on the Crew. That being said, it's a rough road. Only two of their remaining contests are against teams at the bottom of the pile. One of those games is against another team fighting for its playoff life, and the other is against David Beckham's traveling roadshow.
Mexican international Cuahtemoc Blanco has worked out in every way possible, scoring his second MLS goal in his 4th MLS game against KC on Saturday. With Justin Mapp and Chris Rolfe returning from injury, and new additions Paolo Wanchope and Wilman Conde should bolster the ranks. They're also hot, going undefeated in four of their last five. The backline however is VERY shaky, and Chris Armas and CJ Brown are showing their age. If the defense can keep the Fire in games long enough for Blanco, Wanchope, Rolfe, Mapp, and Carr to do their jobs, I like the Fire's chances. Of the three teams, they probably have the most talent. That September Fire-Crew game is HUGE in every sense of the word. The winner may not be in, but the loser will probably be out.
Colorado Rapids
(6-9-6, 24 pts, 4th place in the West)
Remaining Schedule: LOS ANGELES, @Columbus, @Los Angeles, CHIVAS USA, @Real Salt Lake, @New England, TORONTO FC, @Chivas USA, REAL SALT LAKE
Record against "The Other Two": Drew Chicago 1-1 in March at home, and 0-0 in Chicago in July. Drew Columbus 0-0 at home.
Colorado is in some deep shit, frankly. Of these three, I like their chances least. The team is in total chaos right now. Head Coach Fernando Clavijo may be on the chopping block. His job likely depends on the Rapids making the playoffs. Keeper Bouna Coundoul has a GAA of 1.19, but the Rapids as a team have only scored 20 goals in 21 matches, third-lowest in the league. They have little star power, little offensive firepower, and only have one game remaining against their playoff rivals Fire and Crew.
If there's one thing to save them, it's their schedule. While the Fire's schedule is packed with league-beaters, the Claret-and-blue is packed with patsies. Los Angeles twice, Real Salt Lake twice and Toronto FC. With that kind of schedule, if they can't make it work, they don't deserve to go to the playoffs.
I'm not making picks. Too bad.
7.26.2007
YNSA Mid-Season Awards
Angel has torn the league up since arriving from Aston Villa earlier this year. His 9 goals in 11 of RBNY's 15 games (only 11 of which Angel played in) have kept Los Toros Rojos near the top of the Eastern Conference all year. Were it not for his production, the Meadowlands outfit would be in huge trouble as The rest of the team has only managed to score 17 combined goals. By scoring game-winning or game-tying goals, Angel has personally earned Red Bull 4 points (1-0-1). Now that defenses have figured him out, can he keep up the production?
YNSA Goalkeeper of the Half
Will Hesmer, Columbus Crew
Naturally, Houston Dynamo's Pat Onstad should get an honorable mention. Anytime you can have a GAA below 1.00 is going to give your team a fantastic chance. However, I think Onstad unfairly benefits from having a team that is playing out of its mind right now. Hesmer is an unknown quantity (hence no available photos of him this season), and teams are still trying to find their way around him. Hesmer has a better shot/save ratio than Onstad, a GAA of 1.00, and has helped key Crew on their recent hot streak. All while faced with a porous backline, and at times, little offensive production.
YNSA Comeback Player of the Year
Eddie Johnson, Kansas City Wizards
Unwanted in Dallas, injured, hurt, labeled a wash-up, a flash-in-the-pan, Johnson has regained the form seen in 2005 when he burst onto the scene as one of the United States' greatest strikers. His 12 goals and three assists lead MLS in points, and this was with him taking time off to attend the Gold Cup and Copa America. Johnson has only played in 11 games, and has provided the strike force needed to raise Kansas City's hopes of returning to the playoffs.
Supporters of the Year
Toronto Football Club
7.23.2007
"Paradise" Lost on Dan Roan
7.18.2007
7.12.2007
Do You Believe In Miracles? YES!
Are you kidding me? Down 1-0 after a late second-half goal to Uruguay, the United States U-20 team rallies with a Uruguay own-goal in the 87th minute to equalize, then wins it on Michael Bradley's header in extra time at the FIFA U-20 World Cup in Canada.
The Yanks move on to face Austria in the Quarterfinals.
7.07.2007
MLS Preview: Chicago vs. Toronto
For Tossers fans, it's a season of firsts, and sadly for their Windy City opposition, most of their firsts seem to come against the Fire. Toronto's first goal was scored against Chicago in the Grand Opening of BMO Field; a result that stood up as TFC held on to record their first win that day, defeating Fire 3-1. Toronto has never won on the road, and Fire fans fear they may be witnessing another first.
Things to keep in mind for today's game.
Players returning
While Toronto was not heavily affected by Copa America call-ups, the Fire should see Justin Mapp back in red today. Mapp is characteristic of brilliance, and total apathy. The Section 8 hopeful certainly wish that there will be some renewed urgency in Mapp's game now that he has been given a look by the US National Team at the Gold Cup and Copa America. The Fire also get Ivan Guerrero back from Honduras and Gonzalo Segares from Costa Rica. Osei Telesford is back from Trinidad & Tobago international duty, but is injured and may not play.
Defense
Chicago's backline must hold today if it is to have any chance. Toronto carved them up North of the border, making the aging line look inexperienced. Bakary Soumare is back in the lineup having served his 1-game suspension from his red card on Sunday.
Scoring First
If Toronto can get on the board first, then the Red Patch Boys and U-Sector can already put one point in the bag and fly back to Toronto with a share of the points. Chicago has not come from behind to win since June 28, 2006. Before that, it was September 17, 2005. So in any competition, the Fire have come from behind to win only twice in almost the last two years.
Role Players need to impress
Juan Carlos Osorio (formerly of Manchester City and Colombia's Club Millionarios) is taking command of the Fire's fortunes on Monday. It is believed he will radically transform the team, and that could mean the end of the Fire careers for underperformers Chad Barrett and Logan Pause. Players could well be playing for their jobs. The same issue is at hand on the other side of the midfield line as TFC skipper Mo Johnston has made a record number of trades this summer.
YNSA Prediction: Chicago Fire 1:1 Toronto FC
7.06.2007
Leeds Could Drop Again Without Playing a Game
However, just when you think it's predictable and pre-written, there's a club like Reading that bursts onto the Premiership scene last year for the first time, and just barely misses out on a European spot. The small teams rise up and grab their share of the glory. However, it's a zero sum game, and for whoever comes up, someone must go down, and in this case, we have clubs like Leeds United to remind us that the game can change at any moment.
Leeds United were formerly a great club. Their rivalry with Manchester United peaked in the 1990s when both clubs were solid domestically and were always competing for league titles and European placement. As recently as 2001, Leeds were in the semifinals of the Champions League. Even after being relegated from the Premiership in 2003, only a year ago Leeds were one game away from returning to the top flight before bowing to Watford in the Play-off Final. Another relegation followed this past season, and the club's massive debt pushed them into administration. Now Leeds are up for sale, and it could get even worse. Reports coming out of Elland Road indicate that if Leeds are not out of administration by the time the League 1 Season starts in August, then the FA will not allow them to play. I am not sure if this means that they would simply be suspended untill their finances are in order or if it means that they would be relegated from the Football League alltogether, which would mark the most stunning reversal of fortune in English Football for years. From European semifinalists to non-league football in 6 years.
Osorio Tabbed to Rescue Fire
Chicago has gone 1-6-2 since starting the season 3-0-1.
7.03.2007
Keller to consider retirement
Where are the DPs?
Answer: There aren't. There are already at least 8 designated players in MLS, they just don't fall under that status yet. Players making DP-money, or close to it may be grandfathered in this season, but next season they would qualify as Designated Players, taking that roster slot, and possibly earning a richer contract for themselves.
Landon Donovan, Eddie Johnson, and Carlos Ruiz are already in this category, along with Freddy Adu. The DP Rule could also explain the recent contract attitudes of Dwayne DeRosario. DeRosario is in the middle of negotiation in Houston, which could be on hold for the possibility of DP money for next season. If Houston isn't willing to pony up the dough and sign DeRo as a designated player, a jump to Europe may be in order for the Canadian international. When these players are considered, and provided that no trades or European signings take place, then 9 of 13 DP slots are taken. Los Angeles would need to trade for a DP slot to keep Donovan, and LA doesn't have much to offer anyone. So I think Donovan may be on the trading block after this season.
So the designated players are here, they're just not DPs yet.
The real growth in MLS has come with the influx of foreign talent that falls outside the galactico club dominated by players like Ronaldinho and Cristiano Ronaldo. I mean, let's be realistic. Thierry Henry isn't going to up and leave Arsenal to play for the Colombus Crew, and I imagine the Crew would have a hard time outbidding the $32 million that Barcelona put on the table. However, for considerably less money, the Crew were able to attract Argentine Guillermo Barros Schelloto, whose crosses and leadership in the midfield are one of the reasons the Crew are as improved as they are this year. Juan Toja in Dallas, Carlos Marinelli in KC, Carlos Pavon in Los Angeles, Luciano Emilio at DC United, and Ronald Watterus with New York are further examples of the trend of buying foreign on the cheap.
After all, why buy a BMW when a Honda will suit you just fine?
Nats need to go to Finishing School
During last night's 3-1 loss to Paraguay in the Copa America group stages, the consensus is that the Americans outplayed La Albiroja, but were stonewalled in their finishing. Just in the few minutes I watched, I can agree. The American's passing combinations and creativity were much improved from the Argentina game. Paraguay was a World Cup Finalist last year, so it wasn't some slouch team. However, I saw Justin Mapp hit the crossbar, Eddie Johnson panic in front of the net and pull off an attack (not the first time), numerous shots go wide, and Ricardo Clark's blast that seemed destined to be a golazo smacked away by the Paraguayan keeper. In the Gold Cup, first-teamers Landon Donovan and Damarcus Beasley did not do much better, both shitting their pants with the goal yawning in front of them. While Americans have never been great finishers, or attacking forwards for that matter (Our specialty is goalkeepers and defenders), it is a glaring weakness that must be addressed if the Yanks are to ever seriously contend on the world stage.
In the end, I think it may be a focus problem. Not for the players, but the whole institution. It seems I can't go through one US Soccer broadcast without hearing someone talking about "creating chances." Creating Chances is about the stupidest strategy I've heard of. It's the equivalent of using a machine gun to kill a fly. The basic reasoning is that if you create enough chances, eventually you're bound to get a goal. However, the drawback here is that you will likely wear yourself out trying to keep up a flurry of chances and frustration builds when it doesn't come through. The Americans' total exhaustion in the last 30 minutes of the Argentina game are evidence of this. The US should focus more on clinically finishing chances, not just creating them.
Last night Paraguay took 12 shots on goal, and put 3 in the back of the net (25%). Team USA took 14 and put 1 on target (7%).
Let's go Wiz?
Except with these entrepreneurs.
It is a urinal seive that includes a soccer ball dangling from a "goal" and "players" have to "kick" the ball into the goal with their...err....free kick skills. The ball changes color based on how direct your "intensity" is.
Please consult a doctor if you can bend it like Beckham. You may want to get that checked out.
7.02.2007
Drastic Changes Needed at Harlem Bridge
Several Fire fans wish he had hung up his boots a year or two ago.
After a 3-0-1 start propelled the Fire to the top of the table, they proceeded to only win one of their next nine league matches (1-6-2, 5 points out of a possible 27). In those 9 matches, the Fire scored 7 goals, and surrendered 17. Apologists will blame the dropoff in scoring production on the loss of Chris Rolfe, who has been rehabbing an ankle injury suffered in May. However, such an argument ignores the fact that Rolfe has missed significant time in each of the past few seasons. The reliance on such a fragile player to provide almost all of your offense is a poor excuse, especially when one considers that the Fire only scored multiple goals in a game once during their unbeaten run (2-1 over Kansas City on April 21.)
The losses coupled with growing fan frustration ended up costing Head Coach Dave Sarachan his job, with assistant Denis Hamlett taking over, becoming the first Black head coach in MLS history. While a search for a permament replacement goes on, word now comes that the Fire are up for sale, with a reported asking price of $35 million. A change of ownership can only be a good thing for the Fire, provided the new owners are interested in winning, and are willing to spend the cash to accomplish that.
New LA Galaxy shirts--Looks legitimate
Time to go, Kasey
I've always been a Kasey Keller fan. It's kind of hard not to be. The man was tough-as-nails on the field, easily one of the best (if not the greatest) American goalkeeper in history, a metalhead who rarely gave a shit in interviews with the press, and lives in a German castle. But it's time for him to go.
Keller is listed as the Americans' starting goalkeeper for tonight's Copa America match against Paraguay. The whole point of sending a roster devoid of stars and regulars to Copa America was to develop the kids. By exposing a young group of players to the intense pressure cookers and world-class teams in South America's premier tournament, the team hoped to have a leg up for the bright lights of the 2010 World Cup in South Africa.
Kasey Keller will not and SHOULD NOT be on that team. He is 37 years old now, and will be 40 come 2010. He's at least the 3rd or 4th best keeper in the US Player Pool. While Keller was a great keeper for the US National Team, "was" is the key word in that sentence. More cerebral goalkeepers can play into their 40s, but a keeper like K eller whose skills are based more on quick reaction time and reflex saves cannot. Keller's continued inclusion on the roster can only be attributed to misplaced loyalty for his years of service or to serve as a "field general" or "mentor to the kids." However, both of these can be accomplished in a coaching or reserve keeper role.
So what's the alternative? In the United States' 4-1 loss to Argentina last week, admittedly no keeper could save the US from Argentina's world-class strikers, but had backup keeper Brad Guzan (who figures to be on the 2010 World Cup roster) been playing, the US could have at least gotten some player development and experience out of the process. Keller still believes he is a top-flight keeper, despite being cut from his now-Second Division German club. With Keller's aging body and slowing reflexes, it is plainly obvious to anyone who watched his performance against Argentina, or against Canada in the Gold Cup, that he has lost a step. I wish him the best of luck finding a new club, but it is clear that he is the past, not the future of the US National Team, and as such, should be benched by Coach Bradley.
You're Not Singing Anymore
You're not sing-ing,
You're not sing-ing,
You're not singing anymore!
YOU'RE NOT SING-ING AN-Y-MORE!